Amplios

Futurists & Management Trainers

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Amplios Consultants Pte Ltd
Administration & Mail Office:
10 Anson Road #26-04
International Plaza, 079903
Singapore

ph: +65 6304 8934
fax: +65 6725 8438
alt: +65 983 60607

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Introduction to Scenario Planning

Introduction to Foresight

Our Introduction to Scenario Planning via the Amplios Foresight methodology will take just 8 hours of your time to complete.

You will need to be online, as most of the education is in the form of video links to TED (www.ted.com).

Simply follow the sequence below, each video takes about 20 minutes to complete. Make a note of your answers to the questions as you go.

Once you have completed the viewing, send your answers to us. We will then advise if this "Get that Job" service is appropriate for you and, if so, what to do next. This involves reading and analysing some research papers related to your target industry and sending the results of your analysis back to us.

We get the benefit of your analysis.

You get the benefit of your understanding of the Foresight process and some important future events related to your target industry. You also get a Certificate of Completion of the Introduction to Foresight program.

Need more information? Please contact us.



Indonesia seems set for  decade of economic growth.

Volatility in the Middle East is providing a rich data set for the Scenario Planning process.

How the Amplios Foresight System Works

We have reviewed the traditional method of segmening for  future events search, based on "PEST" (Political, Economic, Social, Technological) and found that it can be improved significantly. There appears to be a cause-and-effect sequence as follows:

  1. Social:Most future events have their origins in human needs, eg food
  2. Methodological:We develop a method of work to satisfy the need, eg farming
  3. Technological:We invent ways of improving our productivity, eg engines
  4. Economic:We produce more than we need and can thus diverify, eg architects
  5. Natural Resources:We use first the natural resources available, eg forests
  6. Political:We have issues arising from ownership of natural resources
  7. Legal:We develop regulations to resolve resource disputes
  8. International:Our resouce disputes cross national borders
  9. Demographic:Our successful development attracts immigrants
  10. Environmental: Our successful development harms the environment, which then becomes a new Social issue.

The cause-and-effect relationships and cyclical nature of the future segments is depcted in the graphic below:

Amplios Foresight Method

 

Preparing You For Your Induction

To prepare you for your induction to to Scenario Planning, we ask that you watch and listen to the following videos. At the end of each, we ask you a question, for which you should note your answer. This will give us a guide to your level of understanding and help us to choose the research documents for you to analyze, should you choose to join the research program, designed to help you secure the job of your choice.

1. Social: 

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

Which is the more important issue to address internationally: terrorism or poverty?

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/dan_gilbert_researches_happiness.html

2. Methodological: 

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

Which is the meaning of the word "Sitopia" : "Food place"  or "Sitting place"

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/carolyn_steel_how_food_shapes_our_cities.html

3. Technological:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

When desribing the difference between our physical world and the computerized world, which term should we use: "Computer gap" or 'Digital divide"

http://www.ted.com/talks/pranav_mistry_the_thrilling_potential_of_sixthsense_technology.html

4. Economic:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

Which country has the largest number of high speed trains in the world: Japan or China

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/martin_jacques_understanding_the_rise_of_china.html

5. Natural Resources:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

Which will prove to be the largest transformation in human development: "The Industrial Revolution" or "The 40 years 2010-2050"

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/johan_rockstrom_let_the_environment_guide_our_development.html

6. Political:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

When assisting with the restructure of a country after a military conflict, which is the most important industry:  Construction or Entertainment

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/paul_collier_s_new_rules_for_rebuilding_a_broken_nation.html

7. Legal:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question: 

Cheap pharmaceuticals purchased over the Internet can be dangerous: because they:

(a) may be poisonous  (b) may have low medicine dosage to increase profits

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/misha_glenny_investigates_global_crime_networks.html

8. International:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

Provision of a free searchable database of publicly-funded data (United Nations etc) is: (a) Possible but difficult (b) Impossible

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/hans_rosling_shows_the_best_stats_you_ve_ever_seen.html

9. Demographic:

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

The proportion of the labor force in India which has no social benefits is: (a) 30%  (b) 90%

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/nandan_nilekani_s_ideas_for_india_s_future.html

10. Environment:   (3 videos)

Fresh Water

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

A portable water filter can make drinkable water from: (a) poisoned water (b) dirty water

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/michael_pritchard_invents_a_water_filter.html

Atmosphere

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

The impact of climate change on the environment is: (a) exaggerated (b) serious

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/al_gore_warns_on_latest_climate_trends.html

Oceans

When watching this video, please make a note of your answer to this question:

Fish farming can be done on: (a) a large scale  (b) only in small lots

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/dan_barber_how_i_fell_in_love_with_a_fish.html

 

 

Next Steps

When you have completed viewing the videos and noted your answers to the above questions, please click here to submit your results. We will then respond to advise you if we recommend that you particapate in the research program.

 

Copyright 2009 Scenario Planning, Balanced Scorecard. All rights reserved.

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Amplios Consultants Pte Ltd
Administration & Mail Office:
10 Anson Road #26-04
International Plaza, 079903
Singapore

ph: +65 6304 8934
fax: +65 6725 8438
alt: +65 983 60607